• Rivalarrival@lemmy.today
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    9 days ago

    Yeah, it’s definitely the next Dot Com bubble. It’ll eventually be about as evolutionary as the transition from Radio to Television, but there’s gonna be a major course correction first.

    • James R Kirk@startrek.websiteOP
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      10 days ago

      Radio to television is generous, IMO. LLMs aren’t a path to AGI or even particularly useful to most people.

      • RustyShackleford@piefed.social
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        10 days ago

        I believe that’s the point for proponents of AI: compare it to something that was once considered amazing, hoping you’ll fail to realize that it’s like comparing apples to oranges.

      • Rivalarrival@lemmy.today
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        8 days ago

        Telegraph was the big one, that shortened broadcast communication times from weeks to a couple days. (Receiving the news telegram -> publishing and distributing the newspaper). News ticker, teletype, and eventually, telephone were all evolutionary ideas: they relied on the same newspaper for broad dissemination.

        Radio was the next revolution, shortening news distribution from a couple days to a couple hours, bypassing the newspaper and going directly to the public. TV was a relatively small evolution of radio. It didn’t increase the speed or breadth of distribution; it only expanded the scope of what was distributed.

        The internet was a big revolution. Cloud computing was another evolutionary idea. AI is a rather small evolutionary take off from that.

      • Routhinator@startrek.website
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        10 days ago

        Any machine or algorithm that cannot consistently produce the same results from the same input is fucking garbage and that is LLM in a nutshell. Garbage.

      • 4am@lemmy.zip
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        10 days ago

        AI (specifically the LLMs for which “hyper scale” datacenters are being built) are by good for summarizing large volumes of text down into a few points with reasonable accuracy.

        This makes them good for pouring over all the data you’re being forced to store in the cloud, including your conversations, financials, political donation receipts, and that patent you’re preparing to file for your million-dollar idea that just might work. Please be sure to associate all your accounts with your verified ID or they will be subject to deletion and your name will be automatically listed on the suspected terrorist and pedophile watch lists.

        Continue to participate in capitalism. We demand it.

      • saltesc@lemmy.world
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        10 days ago

        And to have them be useful is a lot of setup and fuck around, needing to be done by someone experienced and not given to idiots to use for anything requiring reliability or rich substance.

        I’d say they’re like going from 3.1 to 95, but web versions which most people use are pretty useless for non-basic things and basic things it’s usually faster to do yourself.

        It’s just how algorithmic prediction is.

      • James R Kirk@startrek.websiteOP
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        10 days ago

        At least the internet had broad utility, just wasn’t ready in 1999 to support e-commerce on that scale. It is now. I can’t imagine a future where LLMs are similar. Even a theoretically perfect LLM is not like, actually knowledgeable.

    • OrteilGenou@lemmy.world
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      10 days ago

      Look, it’ll put all your searches right there at the top in one roughly half-correct paragraph! All it takes is a quindecupling of energy usage and water usage in your community! Get some perspective!!