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Joined 6 months ago
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Cake day: June 7th, 2025

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  • We are not ready though. Mentally, sure, but in case of an all out war we would still run out of ammo, bombs and manpower in weeks. Only now do we see the first factories and production lines coming online based on the investments of the past years and even then not all the supply lines have been adjusted for it. Europe could probably be ready by the end of 2027 at the earliest, provided it removes its command and control dependency from the US.

    Realistically, Europe won’t be ready until 2030. That’s not to say we wouldn’t be able to get ready sooner, we absolutely would, if we were to switch to a war economy. But nobody wants that, because it ruins your economy and is grossly expensive.

    That doesn’t mean we would get crushed, that wouldn’t be the case, but we would be on the defensive for a while until the gears of war are properly greased.







  • Depends on how you look at it. The deal she made is never going to get ratified by the EU member states, but placated Trump enough to lower his stupid tariffs to acceptable levels. I think she 100% knew the deal she agreed with him was never going in effect and she just wanted to buy time, which so far has worked.

    It makes a lot of sense to buy time for a variety of reasons. She took a hit to her image with this “deal” but she effectively accomplished all the goals she had going into those discussions. But from afar it looks like she was played.







  • Infrastructure spending? This is Russia we are talking about. From every ruble spent by the government, at least 75% disappears if not more. The systemic corruption in Russia will obliterate any supposed advantage they have by ending the war.

    And those foreign assets are only partially government assets. These include investment accounts of normal Russians, payment to companies that have been held back, etc… We are talking billions but Russia is bleeding billions every month now, and the release of those assets will only partially mitigate the unfolding souffle like collapse of the Russian economy. It’s not a sudden crash, just a general return to poverty.

    A return of fossil fuel sales to prewar income would help, but I don’t see that happening as long as they occupy the Donbas and Crimea. Some sanctions will be lifted in case of a peace agreement but not even regime change will roll back all of the sanctions.