To be fair, you did the same with the OP, even if their wording may have been a bit more sensationalist than yours :)

I’m glad you found the data enlightening though, feel free to poke me if you want some pointers on finding data on BRÅ or SCB, they’re veritable treasure troves of info and it’s all publicly available.

Not OP but I like poking around statistics, and dislike when people misrepresent data.

Here is 20 years of data for sex crimes from BRÅ in all of its glory (for our non-swedish speaking friends who might have a hard time figuring out what’s what on a Swedish website). For context, “Våldtäkt” means rape, which is the second row with numbers in our table. This is the one we’ll be looking at.

there was a spike in reported rapes after 2014 since the definition of rape was altered, but that has decreased since 2016.

This isn’t quite right.

As we can see in the above table, the number of reported rapes has increased by some 38.7% since 2014 and 38.4% since 2016 (contrary to your claims). We can also see that the trend of increasing sexual crimes in Sweden has been ongoing since before the change in definitions, which indicates that this likely isn’t the primary cause of the increase, and furthermore that this trend persisted through to 2022.

For those of y’all who lived in countries with lockdowns, and are surprised by an increase through the pandemic, we didn’t have lockdowns here in Sweden. As a matter of fact, there were quite a few young people who came here visiting from other Schengen countries specifically to escape lockdown.

When looking at the larger picture, we can see that there’s a longer trend of increasing sex crimes, going on for many years. Comparing to the year 2003, the per-capita adjusted increase of reported sex crimes is 103.6% and of reported rapes 208%.

Here’s also a study on demographics of perpetrators of rape in Sweden. The most shocking piece of data in it is clearly that 0.3% of those convicted aren’t men, the real champions of gender equality…

https://doi.org/10.1080/20961790.2020.1868681

The crime has skyrocketed. Rapes have skyrocketed

also the research article cuts off before the migrant crisis started…

The migrant crisis was already at its peak in 2015 (when the data cut off). Other studies on general crime suggests further skewing of demographics after 2015, but they do not study specifically sexual crimes.

then align with what i said albeit with more nuance than i could be bothered to add

Except it doesn’t. Your conclusions were that (a) this is only because our social systems are breaking down, (b) attacks on women & lgbt individuals are perpetrated by nazis and has stayed the same, © rape has not increased.

On (a), I contrast your singular cause with the fact that social breakdown is caused by a combination of what you mentioned, what the original guy mentioned (albeit in somewhat more polite terms) and a failure to align the amount of people that were taken in with the capacity of our social systems.

On (b) & ©, these statements are just plain wrong, as indicated by both the BRÅ data and the linked study. The trend of sex crimes increasing starts before the change in definitions, and they are (according to the cited study) usually perpetrated by non-Swedes.

As for population increase, the number of registered people in Sweden was 10’551’707 on dec. 31st 2023 and 8’975’670 on dec. 31st 2003, which is an increase of 20%. Thus, accounting for the population increase, the rate of sex crimes in Sweden has increased by 103.6% since the year 2003 and rapes by 208%.

E: 2000 -> 2003

Citation, straight from SÄPO (Swedish national security police)

https://www.sakerhetspolisen.se/ovriga-sidor/nyheter/nyheter/2024-05-30-iran-anvander-kriminella-i-sverige.html

Peak ignorance right here. It’s a combination of factors. The origin point is indeed the utter failure to set up proper integration systems and regulate migration during the 2010s, which in turn meant that the people who came here were not educated in Swedish language, laws and values, leaving them outside the jobs market. It is also made worse by the fact that a significant portion of the people who came during that period have been brought up in cultures with highly incompatible views and values (for a concrete example, considering secular law a subordinate to religious shariah laws) , which makes integration that much more difficult. After some 7 years, only a third of adult Syrians have managed to get jobs - compare this to recent Ukranian refugees, where 2/3rds have jobs after two years.

For instance, whilst I worked in healthcare in Sweden, we on several occasions had patients refuse care from female coworkers on account of them being women. Something basically previously unheard of that’s became a recurring issue. Every time it happened, it was a non-Swede, and oftentimes they had difficulties with speaking the language. Now I’ve had plenty of Swedish patients who were casually misogynistic against my coworkers, but never to the degree that they would demand to be treated by a man and outright refuse care.

rapes have not skyrocketed. this is a common right-wing talking point outside of sweden, and “ex-pats” love using this as an example of how the country has gone to shit. what actually happened was we changed the way crimes are reported, to make things that were formerly sexual harassment classify as rape of some degree. this is a good thing, as it highlights these behaviours as unacceptable rather than them just being tolerated.

I have included some pertinent statistics from the past twenty years [Source is BRÅ (Swedish ministry for crime prevention) - www.bra.se]

There has long trend of increasing sexual crimes of almost all types in Sweden (The only exception is sexual coercion), the change in definitions was limited, and is really only a minor confounding factor when compared to the overall picture. Besides, in 2019 they did their best to split out the expanded definitions (see rows 3 & 4) and the number of crimes covered are very small in comparison to the whole.

As for the demographics of those convicted, I find this far less relevant. Migrants are the victims in the majority of crimes committed by migrants (and the criminals and terrorists in question represent a minority of that group). As such, upholding the law is as much for the sake of the larger migrant community as for Swedish society as a whole.

However, if you’re still interested in the connections between demographics and crime, you can read here:

https://doi.org/10.1080/20961790.2020.1868681

They are related - gangs in Sweden (consisting largely of non-citizens) have started taking “pay by order” terrorist attacks from the Islamist Ayatollah regime in Iran. There’s currently ongoing deliberations whether to activate terror laws against the criminal organizations that do these things, since those actions, by definition, make them terror organizations.

Freedom of expression & communication are the first things to go when authoritarians advance their agendas…

90% of the time if I ask for help on forums the answer will be one of three things:

• Completely absent

• Just google it scrub lmao (nevermind the fact that search has gone to shit)

• Doesn’t actually answer the question

The Islamist Ayatollah regime in Iran won’t be missed when it crumbles under its own brutality. It and its lackeys oppresses women and pretty much every conceivable minority they can reach.

You’re assuming that an antisemite would be thinking rationally. jew-hatred doesn’t tend to be based in rational thinking. Rather it is a basic expression of spite and vitriol. Being “pro-palestine” at the same time gives a convenient excuse to act out and a mass of people to hide amongst, emboldening the ones who otherwise wouldn’t dare.

In any case, I hope that’s enough to answer your original question.

Oh?

I don’t understand what kind of “peril” any random Jewish person might be faced with.

Are you jewish? Even if not, feel free to come here and just walk around a few days openly wearing any commonly known symbol of jewish ethnicity, culture or religion. After that, you will understand, if you aren’t stuck in a hospital bed, or worse.

As for the protests, not even that is necessary, even innocent bystanders (i.e not counter-protestors) have been hurt by activists (not that violence, IMO, is justified in general).

I avoid peril by taking precautions, suppressing that part of my identity, making it invisible to the public eye. The same way that my women classmates at university avoid peril by not being alone at night in certain parts of our city.

This is anecdotal, but anti-israel/pro-palestine actions near where I live have caused peril for people in general and jews in particular. They’re often arranged near synagogues and other places relevant to jewish diaspora communities.

I can go into more detail if you want, but hence the relevance for jews living outside of Israel.

If my commute to work for instance were to intersect with such a demonstration I’d do my best to plan another route, for my own safety.

I suspect that the OP is referring to pro-hamas and pro-hezbollah actions at the protest. Since both are terror organizations who not only have genocidal goals against jews and christian arabs, but also actively harm and oppress arabs in Israel, Gaza, the West Bank and Lebanon.

Probably because it affects jews outside of Israel?

There is an armed conflict (usually described with the word war) between Hezbollah and Israel, which has been ongoing and escalating since October 8th, when the prior launched attacks against Israel in support of the Hamas attack on October 7th.

Hezbollah is conducting its warfare from territories considered part of Lebanon, but de facto militarily controlled by Hezbollah.

Israels declared intent is to fight Hezbollah, not Lebanon. As Hezbollah is not a sovereign nation, no declaration of war is necessary. (If the concept of an undeclared war is confusing to any reader, they should read up on it, most wars since WW2 have been undeclared)

The withdrawal of the Lebanese military where the IDF operates further indicates that this is not a conflict between Lebanon and Israel.

Long story short, this is a war in Lebanon between Israel and Hezbollah where Israeli forces are invading.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/01/world/middleeast/lebanon-government-failure-israeli-strikes.html

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/lebanese-army-seen-withdrawing-from-positions-on-border-with-israel-sources/

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