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Joined 4 months ago
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Cake day: July 11th, 2024

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  • I see the argument with the Budapest Memorandum everywhere and it is just not true. If it were true, all parties would have broken it, when Russia took Crimea. That would make all the actual security guarantees, which have been given to Ukraine for the time after the war worthless, while questioning NATO and the EU as alliances, with two of the most powerful members not actually delivering the protection they promised. So I find it very relevant to point this out.



  • Also nobody agreed to protect Ukraine for giving up nukes. This is the text:

    1. Respect the signatory’s independence and sovereignty in the existing borders (in accordance with the principles of the CSCE Final Act).
    1. Refrain from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of the signatories to the memorandum, and undertake that none of their weapons will ever be used against these countries, except in cases of self-defense or otherwise in accordance with the Charter of the United Nations.
    1. Refrain from economic coercion designed to subordinate to their own interest the exercise by Ukraine, the Republic of Belarus and Kazakhstan of the rights inherent in its sovereignty and thus to secure advantages of any kind.
    1. Seek immediate Security Council action to provide assistance to the signatory if they “should become a victim of an act of aggression or an object of a threat of aggression in which nuclear weapons are used”.
    1. Not to use nuclear weapons against any non - nuclear-weapon state party to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, except in the case of an attack on themselves, their territories or dependent territories, their armed forces, or their allies, by such a state in association or alliance with a nuclear weapon state.
    1. Consult with one another if questions arise regarding those commitments.

  • I believe the war Russia is fighting against NATO has so far not killed a single NATO soldier, but thousands of Russians. If this is the war Russia wants to fight with NATO, NATO would be stupid not to keep it going. At this point the Soviet era weapon stockpiles are nearly empty, they need to buy shells from North Korea, the Russian economy is pretty much a full on war economy, which means collapse as soon as the war ends, while Russia debt auction run into serious problems and the sovereign wealth fund is running empty.

    The only thing the West needs to do is to keep sending aid to Ukraine for another two years or so. That will kill Putin’s Russia. It might even happen earlier.



  • Yes exactly. That’s bombing Israel’s regional enemies.

    In other words you support the Houthis attacking ships in the Red Sea. Since you are against shooting down missiles launched to attack those ships.

    And then they’ve been bombing Iranian targets in Iraq and Syria, among others, since forever. Now I don’t support Iran in general and believe they should get the fuck out of the Arab world, but America definitely supports Israel against its regional enemies.

    We are talking about Spain, Norway, Ireland and Slovenia here and none of them have activly bombed in Syria or Iraq. Slovenia gave a bit of aid to the US, when they attacked ISIS.

    I haven’t heard of the Houthis committing genocide so I’m not sure what you’re talking about.

    I have not said they commit genocide, they just call for it and clearly have no problem with killing a lot of people.






  • There also was a pretty large energy crisis in the EU, whereas the US profits from exporting oil and gas. Add to that Germany paying down debt in an economic crisis, which obviously slows down the rest of EU as well. Obviously falling population shrinks the economy as well and that is happening in half of the EUs most populous countries namely Italy, Poland, Romania, Czechia and Portugal. Spain is fairly likely to join them too with nearly no population growth. Clearly GDP per capita is the more important metric, but still.

    The solution is clearly to transform the economy faster towards becoming green. That solves the energy problem and cuts useless imports of fossil fuels, which make up over 20% of EU imports.