• 11 Posts
  • 34 Comments
Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 9th, 2023

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  • Long story short

    1. following the European elections, Macron used his constitutional right to call for new parliamentary elections, a risky moved that hasn’t been used since 1997.

    2. European elections led to 3 similar sized block : A left wing union from with communists, green and social-democrats, a Center-right pro Macron block, and a far-right block

    3. Macron appointed former EU brexit negotiator Barnier as a prime minister, he is from a right wing party who’s done a pretty low score at the election, and he bought a government with centre-right liberals and some more conservative to show the far-right that it could have been worse.

    4. The parliament struggled to vote a budget, so Barnier used the trust me bro technique, a constitutional trick which allows you to bypass a parliament vote on a law but triggers a confidence vote.

    5. The Far-right decided that the current wasn’t right wing enough and vote the non confidence with the left-wing, meaning that the budget is rejected and the prime minister has to resign

    Direct consequences is that France has no budget for 2025 (I assume it means that they’ll re-use the 2024 budget until they vote something) and that Macron will have to appoint a new PM. With some luck French politicians will start behaving like in any democratic nation and build a coalition over a given coaltion contract rather than blaming each other on the TV



  • Even though they claim to be moderate, pragmatic, anchored in real-life, what they vote and what they say, looks like pretty Trumpian, at least in the French political spectrum. Guess who voted against the gay-marriage ? Guess who voted against banning conversion therapies ? Guess who proposed to ban gender affirming care for minor ? Guess who wants stricter immigrations rules (without hiring civil servant and judge to apply the existing laws) Guess who goes into anti-woke rant (Actually, we can even extend to some centrists from renew, especially when crossing the belgian border , Guess who pass law to increase the weight of private insurance over public healthcare ?





  • Countries have been “temporarily suspending shengen agreement” for tons of reason without putting the EU at risk. I remember being stuck in trafic over 1h when crossing the French border in the summer 2016, where between a football cup, and the terror attacks, the police was “checking the border” ( to be understood as, police kept only one lane open on the highway, and even as setup a tent and a parking so they can “randomly check” some cars.

    I also remember covid time when travelling within EU was involving a lot of paperwork.

    Not sure what’s happening right now in Germany, but it’s not the first nor the last time, that the open-borders are suspended.


  • The trick here is that nobody had the majority at the parliament. Which is quite unusual in France compared to let’s say Belgium where spending over 6 month to build a coalition is the norm.

    Macron and moderate right say they don’t wanna work with leftist killing the hypothesis of left wing government that moderate right can remove at any time. However, if Barnier allies with Macron party, and get at least the passive support of far right, he has a majority. But basically the kind of majority that far right can remove at any time. Not sure what deal with Le Pen was negotiated